Thinking On Paper

"When the stakes are low, inaction hurts you more than speed. The opposite is true when the stakes are high."

In this episode of the Thinking on Paper book club, we explore Part 4 of Shane Parrish’s Clear Thinking, a guide to making better decisions through a structured framework. Learn the four stages of decision-making—defining the problem, exploring solutions, evaluating options, and executing the best choice. This section is packed with actionable strategies, from rules for decision-making under pressure to understanding opportunity costs.

Whether you’re aiming to become a more effective leader, sharpen your decision-making skills, or simply think more clearly, this episode offers practical insights for navigating complex situations.

What You'll Learn:

-The four key stages of decision-making
-How to handle low-stakes vs. high-stakes decisions
-The importance of defining the problem clearly
-Are you a “chef” or a “line cook”? (And why it matters)
-How to calculate and understand opportunity cost
-Margins of safety and why they’re crucial to decision success

Thank you for supporting the show

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TIMESTAMPS
0:00 Clear Thinking By Shane Parrish
0:50 The Decision Making Process
2:57 Rules And Safeguards
3:37 When The Stakes Are Low
5:36 Define The Problem
14:04 Get Real, Get With Reality
17:39 Are You A Chef Or Line Cook?
21:30 Opportunity Cost
28:20 Define The Most Important Part
30:15 Margins Of Safety

Learn more: www.thinkingonpaper.xyz

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